Spatiotemporal Patterns of Cancer among Women in Central Serbia: Relevance for Risk-Informed Health Planning

Authors

  • Emina Kričković University of Belgrade, Faculty of Geography, Studentski trg 3/3, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia Author https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0737-5636
  • Tin Lukić University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Sciences, Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Trg Dositeja Obradovića 3, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia Author
  • Vladimir M. Cvetković Department of Disaster Management and Environmental Security, Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade, Gospodara Vučića 50, Belgrade, Serbia Author https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3450-0658
  • Zoran Kričković Military Geographical Institute – “General Stevan Bošković”, Ministry of Defence of the Republic of Serbia, Mije Kovačevića 5, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia Author https://orcid.org/0009-0006-1509-5008

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.66050/jp6s4065

Keywords:

cancers, women, Central Serbia, Hot Spot Analysis

Abstract

Malignant diseases are among the most prevalent health conditions affecting the female population in the Republic of Serbia. This study provides an overview of the most common malignant diseases – cancers in women in the central part of Serbia from 1999 to 2021, including breast, cervical, uterine, colorectal, bladder, ovarian, pancreatic, lung, and bronchial cancers from a geographic perspective. The spatial hot spots were identified using the well-known Getis-Ord Gi* statistic. New and consecutive hot spots for lung and bronchus cancer incidence were detected in Zlatiborski, Moravički, Mačvanski, and Beogradski counties, with oscillating and sporadic hot spots in the others. Consecutive hot spots for lung and bronchus cancer mortality were identified in Beogradski, Kolubarski, Podunavski, and Šumadijski counties, whereas oscillating hot spots were identified in Braničevski and Pomoravski counties. New hotspots for ovarian cancer incidence were concentrated in Zlatiborski and Moravički counties, whereas cold spots for uterine cancer incidence were identified in Kolubarski, Šumadijski, and Mačvanski counties. Pancreatic cancer incidence exhibited consecutive and sporadic patterns across multiple regions, while bladder cancer incidence showed widespread hot spots. The results provide valuable evidence on regions most severely affected and underscore the necessity of targeted preventive and intervention strategies. This analysis contributes to improving public health outcomes in Serbia and offers a model for similar studies in other countries.

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2026-03-14

How to Cite

Kričković, E., Lukić, T., Cvetković, V. M., & Kričković, Z. (2026). Spatiotemporal Patterns of Cancer among Women in Central Serbia: Relevance for Risk-Informed Health Planning. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 8(1), 183-200. https://doi.org/10.66050/jp6s4065

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